Question : IMPACT OF MONSOON ON THE ECONOMY



(a)whether any assessments have been made by the Government about the losses likely to be caused to the States due to the late arrival of monsoon rains;

(b)if so, State-wise details thereof;

(c)whether the Government is considering to provide any financial assistance to overcome the losses by the States; and

(d)if so, the details thereof?

Answer given by the minister


MINISTER OF STATE IN THE MINISTRY OF FINANCE(SHRI NAMO NARAIN MEENA)

(a) & (b) : As per the updated forecast released by India Meteorological Department on 24th June, 2009, rainfall during South-West monsoon season (June-September) is likely to be below normal. Quantitatively, rainfall for the country as a whole is likely to be 93 percent of the Long Period Average (LPA) with a model error of (+) 4 percent. Rainfall over the country as a whole in the month of July 2009 is likely to be 93 percent of its LPA and that in the month of August is likely to be 101 percent of LPA both with a model error of (+/-) 9 percent. In terms of the four broad geographical regions of the country, rainfall for 2009 Southwest monsoon season is likely to be 81 percent of its LPA over North-West India, 92 percent of its LPA over North-East India, 99 percent of its LPA over Central India and 93 percent of its LPA over South Peninsula, all with a model error of (+/-) 8 per cent. As per the IMD press release dated 3rd July, 2009, the South-West monsoon had covered the entire country about 12 days earlier than its normal schedule.

The impact on sowing of kharif crops in different states will depend on the extent of deficiency in rainfall in the respective States . As on 10th July 2009, there has been a delay in the sowing of Kharif crops like rice, groundnut, soyabean and coarse cereals, covering inter-alia, states like Bihar, Chattisgarh, Madhya Pradesh, Maharashtra, Rajasthan, Orissa and Punjab.

(c) & (d) : Government is closely monitoring the situation on a day to day basis. States have been advised to identify the pockets of distress, if any, and take remedial measures. The Ministry also intends to increase the allocations under National Food Security Mission (NFSM) and Rashtriya Krishi Vikas Yojana (RKVY) and give more flexibility to States to use these schemes to meet the contingent situations in the event of deficient rainfall, particularly for purchase and distribution of seeds, support for micro-irrigation etc.