Question : CHANCES OF INDO-PAK WAR



(a) whether the U.S. Central Intelligence Agency has said that the chances of a war between India and Pakistan now are the highest since 1971 and maintained that a conventional war between the two nations could escalate into a nuclear confrontation;

(b) if so, the details thereof; and

(c) the steps being taken by the Government to reduce the tension with Pakistan?

Answer given by the minister


THE MINISTER OF STATE IN THE MINISTRY OF EXTERNAL AFFAIRS (SHRI OMAR ABDULLAH)

(a) & (b) Yes, Sir. The Director of the U.S. Central Intelligence Agency, in a statement to the U.S. Senate Select Committee on Intelligence on 06 February 2002, said that the attack on the Indian parliament on December 13 has resulted in `calls for military action against Pakistan, and subsequent mobilisation on both sides`. He added that `the chance of war between these two nuclear-armed states is higher than at any point since 1971`.

(c) Tension between India and Pakistan is the result of Pakistan`s sponsorship of and support to cross-border terrorism in India and it can, therefore, be reduced through effective steps by Pakistan to stop cross-border terrorism in India.